$120.9
$120.6
$121.0
$121.9
$126.0
$128.6
$129.5
$131.3
$133.1
$134.0
$132.5
$137.9
$143.4
$142.4
$137.0
$140.1
8.4%
8.2%
5.6%
2.1%
4.2%
6.6%
7.0%
7.7%
5.6%
4.2%
2.3%
5.0%
7.7%
6.2%
3.3%
1.6%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
$100
$110
$120
$130
$140
$150
$160
$170
$180
$190
4 2012-1 2 3 4 2013-1 2 3 4 2014-1 2 3 4 2015-1 2 3
Four-Quarter MovingRate of Change Homeowner Improvements Four-Quarter
Moving Totals Billions of $
US Census Bureau
LIRA
Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity
More Leads More Jobs More Revenue
Qualified
Remodeler
readers see
stronger flow
of leads, jobs
and revenue
ahead in 2015.
The most recent LIRA shows a strong start to 2015, but growth will moderate,
mostly due to a dip in pending home sales.
Source: Qualified Remodeler Forecast Survey, 2015.
Up 1-5%
Up 6-10%
Up more
than 20%
Up 16-20%
Up 11–15%
Down
1–5%
Down
6–10%
Down
11–15%
Down more
than 20%
Down
16–20%
22.8%
22.8%
15.8%
13.4%
11.8%
7.9%
3.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.0%
Up 1–5%
Up 6–10%
Up more
than 20%
Up 16-20%
Up 11–15%
Down
1–5%
Down
6–10%
Down
11–15%
Down more
than 20%
Down
16–20%
30.7%
20.5%
15.0%
13.4%
11.0%
6.3%
1.6%
1.6%
0.0%
0.0%
Up more
than 20%
Up 1–5%
Up 11–15%
Up 6–10%
Up 16–20%
Down
1–5%
Down
6–10%
Down
11–15%
Down
16–20%
Down more
than 20%
22.8%
22.1%
15.0%
11.8%
9.5%
8.7%
3.2%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
Note: Historical data from the third quarter 2014 onward is based on the LIRA and will remain so until the Census Bureau releases annual revisions on July 1st.
Source: Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.
QualifiedRemodeler.com | ForResidentialPros.com QR February 2015 33