Qualified Remodeler Magazine

JAN 2013

Qualified Remodeler helps independent remodeling firms to survive, become more professional and more profitable by providing must-have business information, namely best business practices, new product information and timely design ideas.

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OVERVIEW / NEWS / TRENDS / COMMUNITY Caution Urged when Weighing Affluent Market Predictions For remodelers and builders whose target market is the affluent and upscale, the American Affluence Research Center cautions not to be unduly influenced by coming-year predictions about this demographic, emphasizing the following points: 1. Affluent consumers are not prone to substantial changes in their basic behavior and values from year to year or even over an extended period of time. 2. A change from one year to the next is not necessarily a trend, especially if it applies to a large increase in a very small percentage of the market. 3. Affluent consumers are not necessarily luxury consumers. 4. It is important to stay focused on the key marketing priorities of retaining the loyalty and increasing the purchases of existing customers while working to attract new customers. 5. Traditional marketing communications channels should not be forsaken, especially if one is targeting affluent and luxury consumers. 6. The true affluent, who typically are careful spenders who live within their means, are the more knowledgeable and more sophisticated consumers. Read more at ForResidentialPros.com/10841940 FORECLOSURES Foreclosure Filings Down in October Foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on 180,817 U.S. properties in November, a decrease of 3 percent from October and down 19 percent from November 2011 — marking the 26th consecutive month with an annual decrease in foreclosure activity, according to RealtyTrac's Foreclosure Market Report for November 2012. "The drop in overall foreclosure activity in November was caused largely by a 71-month low in foreclosure starts for the month, more evidence that we are past the worst of the foreclosure problem brought about by the housing bubble bursting six years ago," said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. HOUSING BY THE NUMBERS • Fourteen percent of those surveyed say that home prices will go down in the next 12 months, a 4 percentage point increase over last month. • The percentage who think mortgage rates will go up continued to rise, increasing 4 percentage points in November to 41 percent. • Twenty-three percent of respondents say it is a good time to sell, a 5 percentage point increase compared to last month, and the highest level since the survey's inception. • The share of respondents who said they would buy if they were going to move held relatively steady at 67 percent. • Fifty-one percent of respondents now say it would be easy to get a mortgage, marking the highest rate since the survey's inception. Source: November 2012 National Housing Survey, Fannie Mae 6 January 2013 QR ForResidentialPros.com CONSUMER SENTIMENT More Americans Believe Economy is on Right Track Americans are showing increased confidence in the housing market and the direction of the economy, according to Fannie Mae's November 2012 National Housing Survey. "Consumer attitudes toward both the economy and the housing market continue to gather momentum, with many of our 11 key National Housing Survey indicators at or near their two-and-a-half-year highs," said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist of Fannie Mae. "On the housing front, attitudes about the current selling environment continue to improve, with a significant increase in those saying it would be a good time to sell. Those indicating that the economy is on the right track has risen to 44 percent while those saying it's on the wrong track has fallen to 50 percent, the smallest gap since the survey's inception." 1. Read the new products magazine. Flip through QR's new sister publication, Residential Building Product News. ForResidentialPros.com/ magazine/rdb/issue/2013/jan 2. Listen to a Podcast. Senior editor Ken Betz talks with NARI lobbyist Tom Sullivan. ForResidentialPros.com/mediacenter 3. Read blogs. A new blog will appear on our site every week in January to complement the print issue. ForResidentialPros.com/blogs/ qr-market-memo 4. Sign up for our e-newsletter. Sign up for our weekly e-newsletter to receive the latest remodeling news, products and more. Cygnus.Omeda.com/QUR HOME VALUES Home Values Have Increased Every Month for a Year Home values have increased every month for more than a year, rising 0.6 percent from October to November to a Zillow Home Value Index of $156,200, according to the November Zillow Real Estate Market Reports. Home values were up 5.2 percent compared with November 2011, the largest annual gain since August 2006, when home values rose 6 percent year over year. The monthly increase is the 13th in a row for national home values. The last time home values stood at $156,200 was May 2004. 5. Share your disaster story with your peers. Submit photos and stories about what you're doing and where to help with Hurricane Sandy and other disaster recovery efforts. ForResidentialPros.com/ disasterrecovery

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